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interesting. but IMO one thing needs to be note is that if the country as a whole shift like 5% to the dems, you don't inherently expect every state to shift that 5% exactly. the more solid a state is, the less we would expect it to shift regardless of the national environment. the 2018 blue wave got to the level it got because in additional to states known for being a swing state, the blue shift occurred on similar levels in GA, in TX and in AZ. the fact that in 2016 it was unthinkable to call them swing states and now 2 of them has both senate seats as democrats and the 3rd is also being talked as soon-to-might-be a swing one. it's one thing to swing the country as a whole a curtain %, it's a whole different level to do a half of it to a "not you" state (a red one in the democrats' case).

i'm not saying that Abrams is the reason for that (while i do think a lot of things got right to the dems in GA 2020 that made them win it, and the actions she took part of in preventing voter suppression was one of them, but not the sole thing), but i do think that what happened in 2018 is a good shift even in relation to a blue wave because of who deep red those states used to be thought of, and thinking about them as such now is laughable and strategically unhelpful...

hope i succeed delivering my point...

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