I think the Alberta NDP have a decent chance of winning in 2023 at the moment. Their floor is going to be a lot higher than 2019 because I think that election was likely a once in a generation type of election. I don't expect either the Alberta NDP or the UCP to win the next election in a landslide. I agree with you in terms of what the Alberta NDP needs to do in order to win in 2023. I do think they need to present themselves as a pragmatic alternative to the UCP with a decent vision for the province in order to keep their current gains in the polls. The UCP will also have to prove they deserve the keys to the premier office again in 2023. I think the UCP acts to much like the opposition right now and they are falling for the same trap the ABNDP fell for when they were in government. The UCP is to preoccupied with picking fights with people and stiring anger and division instead of acting like the government at the moment. The UCP has also screwed up on every file they have touched so far.I do hope the UCP eventually takes things seriously and they start governing for the majority of Albertans who are in the center, but every day they don't do that the harder it will be for them to recover before 2023.
I've given up on any hope for the planet for as long as "economic anxiety" continues to dominate the polls. Alberta cons have made it a religion to demonize Trudeau's climate program as NEP 2.0 and from what I've read, he personally still feels the sting of how the uprising in that province affected his father. I fear the same "economic anxiety" message carried over in the next federal election would enable O'Toole (or whoever) to ride a wave of inflationary discontent all the way to Ottawa banking on the possibility that "economic anxiety" displaces climate or even basic human decency on social issues at the polls. It therefore wouldn't matter how much the federal cons lean into Alberta's climate denialism, or if Kenney and O'Toole make nice again as a counterweight to the "Notley-Trudeau alliance". They'd just strike luck with a message that Trudeau is bad for the economy *because* he's bad for "ethical energy." The US leaning into its own protectionism and potentially shutting down Line 5 would probably add to that. We're not getting off fossil fuels any time soon and probably never. Which means at some point Kenney might actually be able to say that he got a pipeline to tidewater. The problem is it'll come after all of B.C. washes away to the sea.
I think the Alberta NDP have a decent chance of winning in 2023 at the moment. Their floor is going to be a lot higher than 2019 because I think that election was likely a once in a generation type of election. I don't expect either the Alberta NDP or the UCP to win the next election in a landslide. I agree with you in terms of what the Alberta NDP needs to do in order to win in 2023. I do think they need to present themselves as a pragmatic alternative to the UCP with a decent vision for the province in order to keep their current gains in the polls. The UCP will also have to prove they deserve the keys to the premier office again in 2023. I think the UCP acts to much like the opposition right now and they are falling for the same trap the ABNDP fell for when they were in government. The UCP is to preoccupied with picking fights with people and stiring anger and division instead of acting like the government at the moment. The UCP has also screwed up on every file they have touched so far.I do hope the UCP eventually takes things seriously and they start governing for the majority of Albertans who are in the center, but every day they don't do that the harder it will be for them to recover before 2023.
I've given up on any hope for the planet for as long as "economic anxiety" continues to dominate the polls. Alberta cons have made it a religion to demonize Trudeau's climate program as NEP 2.0 and from what I've read, he personally still feels the sting of how the uprising in that province affected his father. I fear the same "economic anxiety" message carried over in the next federal election would enable O'Toole (or whoever) to ride a wave of inflationary discontent all the way to Ottawa banking on the possibility that "economic anxiety" displaces climate or even basic human decency on social issues at the polls. It therefore wouldn't matter how much the federal cons lean into Alberta's climate denialism, or if Kenney and O'Toole make nice again as a counterweight to the "Notley-Trudeau alliance". They'd just strike luck with a message that Trudeau is bad for the economy *because* he's bad for "ethical energy." The US leaning into its own protectionism and potentially shutting down Line 5 would probably add to that. We're not getting off fossil fuels any time soon and probably never. Which means at some point Kenney might actually be able to say that he got a pipeline to tidewater. The problem is it'll come after all of B.C. washes away to the sea.