I put no stock in this either. It's too early, he's been leader for two minutes, and two prominent conservatives have already left the party because of him. The people who support him are either Trump-championing antivaxxer/convoy types or aren't paying the slightest attention to what's going on.
Polls today are notoriously unreliable and some pollsters seem to have sold out to one party or another; but one thing of interest in the latest Abacus poll is that Liberal support is more or less the same among men/women, young, middle age and older voters. Not so CPC support. Non-probability samples used by Abacus and others, coupled with very low response rates, makes for abnormal survey-to-survey bounce but internal comparisons like this can be useful.
I don't necessarily disagree with your conclusions, but you DON'T think the economy will be bad next election? That's surprising, but I hope you're right.
I put no stock in this either. It's too early, he's been leader for two minutes, and two prominent conservatives have already left the party because of him. The people who support him are either Trump-championing antivaxxer/convoy types or aren't paying the slightest attention to what's going on.
Polls today are notoriously unreliable and some pollsters seem to have sold out to one party or another; but one thing of interest in the latest Abacus poll is that Liberal support is more or less the same among men/women, young, middle age and older voters. Not so CPC support. Non-probability samples used by Abacus and others, coupled with very low response rates, makes for abnormal survey-to-survey bounce but internal comparisons like this can be useful.
I don't necessarily disagree with your conclusions, but you DON'T think the economy will be bad next election? That's surprising, but I hope you're right.