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BTW, Mainstreet has the CPC at 37-31(!!!) I eagerly await your explainer for this!!!!

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But those polls are already out of date as EKOS is now showing an even bigger lead for the Tories and Nanos has just followed along. Furthermore, the daily phone trackers are the only polls we've really had throughout this campaign. That said, I don't suspect the online panels (should any new releases arrive) to be much better. There's a month left, and they're only going to get worse for the Liberals because people have decided to ignore policy altogether and are seemingly intent upon stupidly punishing Trudeau for having an election at all.

Also, if Trudeau won fewer seats than O'Toole, you know as well as I do he'd resign on election night rather than attempt to seek confidence. Singh would be more than happy to betray every principle the NDP feign to stand on by propping up the cons. He knows damn well that the long game for the NDP is to reduce the Liberals to a historical artifact, and that they would be that without Trudeau. Misogynists won't vote for Freeland, and who's left after that? Carney?

As much as I want to believe in miracles, I just don't think it's in the cards anymore. It's really sad and it's heartbreaking but it's in keeping with what Trudeau's dad said in 1972, "the universe is unfolding exactly as it should." :(

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