I don't want to charge for this! If you really insisted on giving me money I wouldn't turn it down but I do this for free and I'll be keeping it that way in perpituity
If presumptive heir Freeland leaves for the UN, what kind of leadership contest would PMJT trigger if he stepped aside and how early should he do it to allow the new leader to get set to lead an election campaign? I think Freeland is a political liability based on voter misogyny and unlike ability factors.
Ultimately Skippy will be taken down by his vanity. He wants to be popular, and has found playing nice with the fascist-adjacent populists gets him a good crowd in some places. It also alienates basically everyone else, but it's got him this far, which he'll see as a success.
Just not seeing how it gets him further without a pivot to a broader audience - and the populists prefer the pure ayahuasca Mad Max peddles. Mulroney and Harper cobbled together a majority by convincing them shutting up was their best option, but it didn't hold for long, and they're not in the mood to shut up.
He will likely try that again though, and it might work. But it requires more strategic thinking than he's demonstrated. He was easily triggered into unforced errors in a leadership contest he had easily won months ago. I don't see that changing. He might learn a lesson from that in a second go around, but Conservatives don't seem keen on keeping people through a losing cycle or two. If they did, I suspect O'Toole wouldn't be looking too bad right now.
Trudeau is allowed and expected to be a mushy middle entity, and it's what Canada generally likes. He will let Skippy make an ass out of himself while yapping for attention in two years in opposition wllderness and repackage the worst bits in "just not ready" oppo ads.
At best, 2025 is probably a repeat of 2021, which was a repeat of 2019. At worst, Trudeau will make Skippy look like an extreme Harper (and not without reason) and meet/exceed 2015.
Evan, starting today, I am paying for a subscription. Have been lurking as a reader for awhile.
Well now I feel foolish because I can't find where I would pay for this.
I don't want to charge for this! If you really insisted on giving me money I wouldn't turn it down but I do this for free and I'll be keeping it that way in perpituity
It's not a subscription Substack, it's free :-)
Though I'm not sure if Evan has a Patreon or Ko-Fi for donations if you want to send him a few bucks in gratitude.
If presumptive heir Freeland leaves for the UN, what kind of leadership contest would PMJT trigger if he stepped aside and how early should he do it to allow the new leader to get set to lead an election campaign? I think Freeland is a political liability based on voter misogyny and unlike ability factors.
Trudeau is not Max Verstappen…he is beatable.
He's the best politician there is... at putting nails in his own coffin.
Ultimately Skippy will be taken down by his vanity. He wants to be popular, and has found playing nice with the fascist-adjacent populists gets him a good crowd in some places. It also alienates basically everyone else, but it's got him this far, which he'll see as a success.
Just not seeing how it gets him further without a pivot to a broader audience - and the populists prefer the pure ayahuasca Mad Max peddles. Mulroney and Harper cobbled together a majority by convincing them shutting up was their best option, but it didn't hold for long, and they're not in the mood to shut up.
He will likely try that again though, and it might work. But it requires more strategic thinking than he's demonstrated. He was easily triggered into unforced errors in a leadership contest he had easily won months ago. I don't see that changing. He might learn a lesson from that in a second go around, but Conservatives don't seem keen on keeping people through a losing cycle or two. If they did, I suspect O'Toole wouldn't be looking too bad right now.
Trudeau is allowed and expected to be a mushy middle entity, and it's what Canada generally likes. He will let Skippy make an ass out of himself while yapping for attention in two years in opposition wllderness and repackage the worst bits in "just not ready" oppo ads.
At best, 2025 is probably a repeat of 2021, which was a repeat of 2019. At worst, Trudeau will make Skippy look like an extreme Harper (and not without reason) and meet/exceed 2015.
Essentially true.
Why are you bringing up trump to make a point about anger against Trudeau? Not even relevant, different country.