20 Comments
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Dave Cournoyer's avatar

I love that Edmonton Strathcona remains the safest NDP riding in Canada.

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Ann Frances's avatar

Wab Kinew for leader!!!!

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Chris Oster's avatar

I'd give Harden a puncher's chance in Ottawa Centre if only because Naqvi has done himself absolutely no favours there since the 2021 election.

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Russell McOrmond's avatar

I'm curious to hear why. I'm newly added to Ottawa Center by boundary redrawing (I was in Ottawa South).

I'm a non-partisan (well, more like anti-partisan) and don't vote along party lines. I find all the current parties with seats to be kinda disgusting. I'm looking at the people, especially when they are willing to diverge from conforming to the party.

If you feel it is off-topic for this thread, then add to: https://r.flora.ca/p/back-in-ottawa-center

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Chris Oster's avatar

The two main reasons from my perspective were that Naqvi was completely MIA for his constituents during the Freedom Convoy, and that he was on board with Sutcliffe wanting federal public servants to return to the office, rather than pushing for a better downtown. He’s just been invisible in the riding in general and has done nothing for it. And Harden has beaten him once before, albeit under completely different circumstances.

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Russell McOrmond's avatar

Thank you for the reply. It will be interesting to see how things go. I haven't even decided how I'm going to vote yet, not being as familiar with Ottawa Center as I had become of Ottawa South.

When I was last in the district it was under Mac Harb, and him being MIA was regularly discussed.

I went to Harden's election office opening -- way too much partisanship for me, but I expect the same will be true for Naqvi.

The "Freedom from Responsibility" convoy wasn't the first time I've been upset when people believed that heavy machinery can be part of a legitimate form of protest. Protest involves people and maybe signs, never tractors, trucks, cows, etc.

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Tris Pargeter's avatar

I think the main problem with the NDP has been their persistent holier-than-thou "virtue signalling" that triggers the same vague guilt/irritation as Christianity/women/mothers, especially in all these avid right-wing and "poorly socialized" boys as Paul Krugman so aptly describes them this morning in the context of Musk's declaration of "empathy" being an impediment as he attacks Social Security in particular. Cruelty is a feature with the Trump "administration" he says, as in "Lord of the Flies."

It's important to remember that the DEI concept in their crosshairs very much embodies this, and that it STARTED with the "E," i.e. equity for women in the workplace and continued from there, similar to the LGBTQ acronym getting longer and longer, and correspondingly more and more silly actually. It's the one conservative point that isn't entirely wrong.

I met a trans person at a Parkland Institute conference once. Tall, large, sweating and in a dress, "they" showed up at each session (and those pronouns are inescapably irritating, and just TOO steep of a learning curve btw) with the same bid for attention to "their" rights. So I finally sidled over to point out that, from my perspective as a 70 year old woman, WE, fully half of humanity, were STILL struggling, despite societal insistence that we were "post-feminist" (AND "post-racist"), so the truth was that this person, for whom I had much empathy, would still unfortunately have to "get in line."

As I write this, I see an e-mail from the Guardian entitled, "The ferocious backlash against women." I concur, and know whereof I speak.

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Annette Deleeuw's avatar

Could you comment on how suspicious it is that Donald Trumps says he would rather have a Liberal than a conservative.

Seems like Pierre or his team asked for that comment. Conservative mp knows JD Vance, Elon always makes glowing comments on PP on twitter and the hostility he showed Trudeau and Freeland

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Paul S.'s avatar

My thought exactly!

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Mark L's avatar

Not low enough

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Patty Lane's avatar

Which ridings are NDP/CPC battlegrounds where the LPC just don’t stand a chance ? I suggest LPC use that info to encourage strategic anti Trump voting.

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Geri's avatar

Edmonton Griesbach is Blake Desjarlais, not Janis Irwin.

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Brydon Chakrabarti's avatar

Re: #16, South Surrey--White Rock is 60% 'European', Van-Kingsway is 27.5. I understand your point, but South Surrey--White Rock was a poor counterexample.

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Joanne Pettis's avatar

Sorry, but I got distracted by the SaskyToba shit. What’s with the name calling? I thought that cuteness was a Trump shtick.

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Mohamed's avatar

I did an analysis on this on reddit. I was able to come up with 14 seats. I thought they had a good chance of holding. I didn't including Nunavut because of obvious reasons, some of their weirder greater vancouver seats(i.e. New westminister and Vancouver Kingsway) and Victoria. There is a legitimate chance they get wiped out on Vancouver island at this point and that would probably end any discussion of official party status unless they pull off a miracle in other parts of canada.

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Near and Now's avatar

The Palestine-Israel issue re: Hamilton-Centre is an open question. Sarah Jama lost her Independent seat provincially by a fairly wide margin to Robin Lennox and I'm wondering if that points to local voters tiring of activist-NDP leanings. That said, Matt Green has been prominent in the community long before the politics of Oct. 6th so that's why I'm betting he not only keeps this seat but will comfortably be the leader of the party once Singh is (rightfully) ousted.

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Ryan H's avatar

I don’t think Jama’s loss represented a drop in overall support for “activist leanings” so much as I think it identified the exact percentage of the vote made up by Palestine absolutely-single-issue voters. It’s probably not worth reading more into it

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John Fitzgibbon's avatar

Is the loss of a third national party, I don’t see how the NDP come back from this, a real issue in this ? Is this a gap the greens can step in and fill?

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Ryan H's avatar

They’ve come back before, and they have a broad base of provincial talent and organization to draw from.

I can’t see the Greens filling the gap simply because the Greens have a civil war any time they try and agree on a platform outside of generically “environment”. Turns out that organizing a group over a single small focus doesn’t necessarily mean the people you gather agree about anything else

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Christo Aivalis's avatar

Unlikely. They went down to 7 in 1993 and came back

The recent Ontario Election showed they can win seats here, and they have stable governments in BC and Manitoba. Also official opposition in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Nova Scotia

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