Important to note that Abacus uses a non-probability sample, while Nanos uses a probability sample, generally considered superior. That aside, I agree that polls years before an election are just to fill media time/space and as valuable as predicting the Dow Jones in a year or two.
Rereading this again. Given The Star is now getting Abacus to churn out "exclusive" polls for them every week, it doesn't look like your imploring the media to get off the rollercoaster has worked. Not surprising. It gives them content to write about, fits in with the preferred 30 plus year old narrative that Canadians are now 'tired' of a three time elected government and is likely cheaper than hiring actual journalists. Sigh.
Nanos says that it refers to the PPC by name: https://nanos.co/dataportal/nanos-tracking-methodology/
Important to note that Abacus uses a non-probability sample, while Nanos uses a probability sample, generally considered superior. That aside, I agree that polls years before an election are just to fill media time/space and as valuable as predicting the Dow Jones in a year or two.
Rereading this again. Given The Star is now getting Abacus to churn out "exclusive" polls for them every week, it doesn't look like your imploring the media to get off the rollercoaster has worked. Not surprising. It gives them content to write about, fits in with the preferred 30 plus year old narrative that Canadians are now 'tired' of a three time elected government and is likely cheaper than hiring actual journalists. Sigh.
Great read, thanks!
I enjoyed this article. Thanks for a great perspective.