I give Poillievre 60 seats at best in the next election. Polls nationally and provincially have been notoriously inaccurate over the last 10 years, and the Tories have gravely underestimated the fury generated by the Freedom convoy amoung the majority of Canadians in my opinion. His Justinflation drivel might resonate amoung people with narrow business experience, but for the tens of thousands who've worked with or are educated about global supply chains, its a really bad joke. The guy has never worked a real job, much less a front line operational one, in his life, and it shows. No one in their right mind would trust the management of our economy to someone as economically incompetent as him. We don't need an unending parade of Phoenix pay screw ups; more shallow, superficial and thoughtless policies. But with him as PM, its obvious that's what we'd get.
The majority of Canadians do not support or identify with the Convoy whose participants include people who spit on health care workers in 2020. The Convoy's organizers are white nationalists who behaved lawlessly and encouraged lawlessness. Every poll from the beginning to the end of the Convoy shows little support for it and support for the government using the emergencies act to end it. (Basically the emergencies act forced police to enforce the law.) This lack of support for the Convoy coincides with the fact that nearly 100% of Canadians were vaxxed in Jan 2022. Furthermore, Poilievre's party seems to be polling slightly ahead or neck and neck even though most Canadians do not like him. His approval is 30% or lower. He is less liked than Scheer and O'Toole when they were leaders. Poilievre's disapproval rating is 52%. If Canadians identify the party with him, as he seems to want us to, he's a liability, not an asset.
Actually, the 338Canada polls have been relatively accurate. But I agree with your assessment of PP.
"The 338Canada / Qc125 model has thus far covered 11 general elections in Canada. In total, 1,513 electoral districts were projected.
So far, the model has correctly identified the winner in 1,355 districts, a success rate of 89.6%.
Among the 158 remaining districts, 90 of the winners (5.9%) obtained a share of the vote that was within the projection's margin of error (moe). Only 68 districts (4.5%) were complete misses."
When Harper merged the reform party with the Progressive Conservatives, he managed his extreme right members and held tight control of his ministers and MPs, ministers couldn’t even respond to provincial government correspondence without it being vetted by his office nor could any communications package be approved without his review. Pierre doesn’t have anything close to that control over his MPs, he might have been able to get the votes, but he doesn’t have the leadership skills required to keep his MPs from embarrassing themselves and their party.
I'm reluctant to attribute the Poilievre statement about Anderson to Poilievre. While it is likely to have been written by a staffer and approved by PP, we can't be sure. Theoretically, it's possible that Lilley wrote this and invented his source.......we just don't know for sure until we see it on Poilievre's twitter feed or less likely, from his mouth.
"I think it’s morally abhorrent to play politics with denunciations of extremism..."
Have you observed Republican policy lately? It's not a game when extremism fucks over your life.
What's more, Leslyn Lewis isn't a backbencher anymore. He's given her a shadow cabinet role and is likely to give her a cabinet post. He made a deal with the social conservatives - who now dominate the party, all of whom are alt-right, to win the leadership. Harper kept those ghouls in a closet and even though his cabinet and senior ranks were not great and downright awful, they weren't Leslyn Lewis who is a stone's throw from being Jamie Sale.
Poilievre is between a rock and a hard place because he too met with, courted, and marched with white supremacists. He got into bed with the devil for opportunistic reasons and now he's in a pickle.
Because Miss Anderson stands for FREEDOM , ACCOUNTABILITY, ADAM AND EVE, NOT STEVE, TRANSPARENCY IN GOVERNMENT, DEMOCRACY makes her far RIGHT ? Continue with your vaccines all you far left sheeple, and may these vaccines help in your DEMISE.
I give Poillievre 60 seats at best in the next election. Polls nationally and provincially have been notoriously inaccurate over the last 10 years, and the Tories have gravely underestimated the fury generated by the Freedom convoy amoung the majority of Canadians in my opinion. His Justinflation drivel might resonate amoung people with narrow business experience, but for the tens of thousands who've worked with or are educated about global supply chains, its a really bad joke. The guy has never worked a real job, much less a front line operational one, in his life, and it shows. No one in their right mind would trust the management of our economy to someone as economically incompetent as him. We don't need an unending parade of Phoenix pay screw ups; more shallow, superficial and thoughtless policies. But with him as PM, its obvious that's what we'd get.
The majority of Canadians do not support or identify with the Convoy whose participants include people who spit on health care workers in 2020. The Convoy's organizers are white nationalists who behaved lawlessly and encouraged lawlessness. Every poll from the beginning to the end of the Convoy shows little support for it and support for the government using the emergencies act to end it. (Basically the emergencies act forced police to enforce the law.) This lack of support for the Convoy coincides with the fact that nearly 100% of Canadians were vaxxed in Jan 2022. Furthermore, Poilievre's party seems to be polling slightly ahead or neck and neck even though most Canadians do not like him. His approval is 30% or lower. He is less liked than Scheer and O'Toole when they were leaders. Poilievre's disapproval rating is 52%. If Canadians identify the party with him, as he seems to want us to, he's a liability, not an asset.
Actually, the 338Canada polls have been relatively accurate. But I agree with your assessment of PP.
"The 338Canada / Qc125 model has thus far covered 11 general elections in Canada. In total, 1,513 electoral districts were projected.
So far, the model has correctly identified the winner in 1,355 districts, a success rate of 89.6%.
Among the 158 remaining districts, 90 of the winners (5.9%) obtained a share of the vote that was within the projection's margin of error (moe). Only 68 districts (4.5%) were complete misses."
Just sayin'. But I hope you are correct.
When Harper merged the reform party with the Progressive Conservatives, he managed his extreme right members and held tight control of his ministers and MPs, ministers couldn’t even respond to provincial government correspondence without it being vetted by his office nor could any communications package be approved without his review. Pierre doesn’t have anything close to that control over his MPs, he might have been able to get the votes, but he doesn’t have the leadership skills required to keep his MPs from embarrassing themselves and their party.
I'm reluctant to attribute the Poilievre statement about Anderson to Poilievre. While it is likely to have been written by a staffer and approved by PP, we can't be sure. Theoretically, it's possible that Lilley wrote this and invented his source.......we just don't know for sure until we see it on Poilievre's twitter feed or less likely, from his mouth.
Isn't this the same problem that O'Toole and Scheer faced....how to appeal to both polarities of CPC voter, praying he can keep the two side together?
Yet PP is often portrayed as the 'true blue conservativee', the 'real deal' and not like those other two imposters to the Cause.
This article seems to suggest that he is just as MOR as his predessesors. Just another con job on the Con voter.
O'Toole told his caucus they had to change or face losing elections. They proceeded to treat him like garbage for it. Aaaand they lost. Again.
"I think it’s morally abhorrent to play politics with denunciations of extremism..."
Have you observed Republican policy lately? It's not a game when extremism fucks over your life.
What's more, Leslyn Lewis isn't a backbencher anymore. He's given her a shadow cabinet role and is likely to give her a cabinet post. He made a deal with the social conservatives - who now dominate the party, all of whom are alt-right, to win the leadership. Harper kept those ghouls in a closet and even though his cabinet and senior ranks were not great and downright awful, they weren't Leslyn Lewis who is a stone's throw from being Jamie Sale.
Poilievre is between a rock and a hard place because he too met with, courted, and marched with white supremacists. He got into bed with the devil for opportunistic reasons and now he's in a pickle.
Because Miss Anderson stands for FREEDOM , ACCOUNTABILITY, ADAM AND EVE, NOT STEVE, TRANSPARENCY IN GOVERNMENT, DEMOCRACY makes her far RIGHT ? Continue with your vaccines all you far left sheeple, and may these vaccines help in your DEMISE.
Republicans claim the same thing and they are banning books, so you can shut your gob with those slogans, troll.
KABOOM
Another good essay. Supporting comments:
https://twitter.com/barrykiefl/status/1629588077038432260?s=61&t=AQA-tmP5omQ8C5jmHpFcTA
https://twitter.com/barrykiefl/status/1629211848481423363?s=61&t=AQA-tmP5omQ8C5jmHpFcTA