Best part about Teneycke's intervention was his admitting that Poilievre's campaign is limited because Poilievre himself is a limited leader.
Poilievre and his echo bubble mistook post-pandemic frustration and Trudeau fatigue for Poilievre popularity -- an act of stunning hubris considering the very stable but limited Conservative base of around 30%.
The Poilievre team chose to cheaply exploit the post-pandemic antivaxxer-freedom crowd to add another 5%, instead of doing the hard policy work and appealing to a broader group of moderate voters -- the middle that you describe.
Hoist on their own petard.
Reap what ye have sowed.
70% of Canadians don't like Poilievre, plus he didn't do his homework.
For 20 years, all he's got is -- letting monsters rot in jail, stealing Lib dental and child care, and killing the CBC.
Exactly this. He’s a hollow man who’s spent his entire adult life in the hot house of internal conservative politics. That’s the sum total of his life experience. He might just be the most limited individual ever to lead a national political party in Canada.
.. he’s worked every single day.. to migrate from ‘smartest guy in the room at U of Calgary’ - through ‘political partisanship opportunism with ex common law Wife Jenni Byrne’ & now the ‘malignant narcissism’ he’s worked at every single day - is mainly revealed via the ‘shit eating grin’ his ‘handlers’ advice he ‘embrace.. as if ‘that’s his real ‘softer side’ 🦎🏴☠️🧨
Great column! Indeed history shows that the LPC is the party that is difficult to defeat. PP was a one-trick pony in Parliament and the dislike for Trudeau that the CPC helped amplify, effectivelyy has backfired with the resignation. Imagine if the CPC had sat back and let things continue without the hounddog tactics in Parliament. Things might have been different. It's clear that after week one of the campaign, the CPC has failed to recognize and move their campaign theme to the USA-Canada relationship. PP is indeed not well liked and I think has demonstrated a narcisism and created a one-person party rule within the CPC. His inability to showcase or highlight other members of the CPC effeectively the past few years creates that one-person perception. It is indeed interesting to watch the polls and voting day looms large.
Ironic... the CONS were counting on defeating Trudeau's cult of personality by creating a cult of personality around Poilievre. Now, it's biting them in the ass.
Tell that to the 5,000 people this week who braved the rain in Surrey, BC or the over 4,000 people in Hamilton who came to support Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives.
Meanwhile Mark Carney had 12 Liberals in hard hats in the port of Montreal for his speech about the phone call he had with Donald Trump and got constant attention on CTV, CBC. 🤔
The Liberal hard-core are dedicated too. The 20 people who were at this weeks Liberal event with Mark Carney are very dedicated. And now, the Liberal Party after dividing Canadians for almost 10 years - you’re hopeful that a new leader bridges differences?
Sorry, but the lost 10 years are NOT the Trudeau/Poilievre era. The Conservatives under different leaders opposed the many horrible policies that the Liberal NDP régime forced on Canadians.
Starting to take some responsibility for policy errors and proposing solutions would be a good start for the Liberal party to try and rebuild one day.
The CPC hard-core are a dedicated lot but comparing crowds at events as a tool to predict electoral success is pretty weak, and really unnecessary when we have actual polling. It’s not irrelevant though. It’s worth noting how staunch those supporters are and considering what that means. I’m hopeful that whoever forms the next government puts more effort into bridging differences among Canadians, and making it okay to have different opinions, rather than exploiting them for short term political gain. The Trudeau/Poilievre era was not good for Canada.
Why not ‘Dump the ‘tory vs ‘grits’ horseshit ? Are you ‘living in the Past ?
You know Damn Well that Stephen Harper’s ‘Western REFORM/ALLIANCE ‘Annexed the Progressive Conservative Party Of Canada via Hostile Brand Takeover from Within..
All Harper wanted was the ‘Conservative BRAND.. & it’s Historic Vote PERCENTAGE
I’ve warned you constantly since pre 2015 & ‘unfuckwithable - re ‘Black Swan Events’ eventually blowing your precious Polls helter skelter ‘off the map’ of ‘Degree of Certainty’ & more recently that PM In Waiting - Pierre Poutine was Vulnerable as Fuck to 70,000 Carleton Federal Voters !
Now - this is Our Reality .. & Poutine Pierre is ‘wearing Danielle Smith.. oh Yes He Is .. 🦎🏴☠️💋
I don't know how you can write about this without ever mentioning the distortions produced by our outdated first-past-the-post electoral system, and the crying need for electoral reform - i.e., proportional representation.
I’m a big ER proponent, but I think a lot of people oversell it. There’s no electoral system in the world where the biggest party getting 40-45% of the vote isn’t a crushing victory. Electoral Reform needs to be more than a shorthand for “the parties I like magically get more influence and the parties I don’t like get less”
That is no excuse for accepting a system in which 40% of the vote (and often less) gets you a monopoly on power. Furthermore, it is quite rare under a proportional representation system for one party to get as much as 40% of the vote. First-past-the-past encourages strategic voting and leads to two-party systems and polarization.
Even under the most raw forms of PR, what you’d get is the Liberals and the conservatives each probably splitting into a couple parties, but everyone would know they’re each basically a combined vote. Look at the various European PR counties and the polling and electoral math will often combine a couple parties in terms of meaningful outcome.
It moves a bit of the internal party wrangling into the public, but once the coalition is put together to make 50%+1 the other 49% don’t get any more power than the out-of-government parties do under FPTP.
PR encourages tribalism and in many ways actively discourages reaching across the isle. The political calculus becomes entirely about maintaining a stable coalition
Given the historic vote shares, Canada under PR is much more likely to be basically the current Liberals propped up by old-style PC’s than some minor party utopia
Best part about Teneycke's intervention was his admitting that Poilievre's campaign is limited because Poilievre himself is a limited leader.
Poilievre and his echo bubble mistook post-pandemic frustration and Trudeau fatigue for Poilievre popularity -- an act of stunning hubris considering the very stable but limited Conservative base of around 30%.
The Poilievre team chose to cheaply exploit the post-pandemic antivaxxer-freedom crowd to add another 5%, instead of doing the hard policy work and appealing to a broader group of moderate voters -- the middle that you describe.
Hoist on their own petard.
Reap what ye have sowed.
70% of Canadians don't like Poilievre, plus he didn't do his homework.
For 20 years, all he's got is -- letting monsters rot in jail, stealing Lib dental and child care, and killing the CBC.
Bravo.
Exactly this. He’s a hollow man who’s spent his entire adult life in the hot house of internal conservative politics. That’s the sum total of his life experience. He might just be the most limited individual ever to lead a national political party in Canada.
.. he’s worked every single day.. to migrate from ‘smartest guy in the room at U of Calgary’ - through ‘political partisanship opportunism with ex common law Wife Jenni Byrne’ & now the ‘malignant narcissism’ he’s worked at every single day - is mainly revealed via the ‘shit eating grin’ his ‘handlers’ advice he ‘embrace.. as if ‘that’s his real ‘softer side’ 🦎🏴☠️🧨
100% 🦎🏴☠️🍁
I never thought I could like Doug & I still would never vote for him, but I am LOVING all the shade he is throwing at Pierre 😂
Will Trump throw a temper tantrum again? If only I could have been a fly on the wall during those phone calls…
I hope the Bloc ends up losing seats but I would not count on it - they are an irrelevant party as far as I am concerned
Great column! Indeed history shows that the LPC is the party that is difficult to defeat. PP was a one-trick pony in Parliament and the dislike for Trudeau that the CPC helped amplify, effectivelyy has backfired with the resignation. Imagine if the CPC had sat back and let things continue without the hounddog tactics in Parliament. Things might have been different. It's clear that after week one of the campaign, the CPC has failed to recognize and move their campaign theme to the USA-Canada relationship. PP is indeed not well liked and I think has demonstrated a narcisism and created a one-person party rule within the CPC. His inability to showcase or highlight other members of the CPC effeectively the past few years creates that one-person perception. It is indeed interesting to watch the polls and voting day looms large.
‘the trouble with normal - is it always gets worse .. Bruce Cockburn ..
Poilievre & Jenni Byrne’s ‘presumption of normal’ is Character Assassination..
It’s ’their Nature .. See the Parable of The Scorpion & The Frog.. ! 🦎🏴☠️🍁
Ironic... the CONS were counting on defeating Trudeau's cult of personality by creating a cult of personality around Poilievre. Now, it's biting them in the ass.
Yes, relaxing is key.
But we have to keep the relaxation at bay long enough to remember to get out and vote. Polls won’t matter if the votes don’t follow.
Tell that to the 5,000 people this week who braved the rain in Surrey, BC or the over 4,000 people in Hamilton who came to support Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives.
Meanwhile Mark Carney had 12 Liberals in hard hats in the port of Montreal for his speech about the phone call he had with Donald Trump and got constant attention on CTV, CBC. 🤔
https://open.substack.com/pub/theoppositionnewsnetwork/p/soaked-angry-and-awake-what-we-saw?r=x5pfu&utm_medium=ios
The Liberal hard-core are dedicated too. The 20 people who were at this weeks Liberal event with Mark Carney are very dedicated. And now, the Liberal Party after dividing Canadians for almost 10 years - you’re hopeful that a new leader bridges differences?
Sorry, but the lost 10 years are NOT the Trudeau/Poilievre era. The Conservatives under different leaders opposed the many horrible policies that the Liberal NDP régime forced on Canadians.
Starting to take some responsibility for policy errors and proposing solutions would be a good start for the Liberal party to try and rebuild one day.
The CPC hard-core are a dedicated lot but comparing crowds at events as a tool to predict electoral success is pretty weak, and really unnecessary when we have actual polling. It’s not irrelevant though. It’s worth noting how staunch those supporters are and considering what that means. I’m hopeful that whoever forms the next government puts more effort into bridging differences among Canadians, and making it okay to have different opinions, rather than exploiting them for short term political gain. The Trudeau/Poilievre era was not good for Canada.
Why not ‘Dump the ‘tory vs ‘grits’ horseshit ? Are you ‘living in the Past ?
You know Damn Well that Stephen Harper’s ‘Western REFORM/ALLIANCE ‘Annexed the Progressive Conservative Party Of Canada via Hostile Brand Takeover from Within..
All Harper wanted was the ‘Conservative BRAND.. & it’s Historic Vote PERCENTAGE
I’ve warned you constantly since pre 2015 & ‘unfuckwithable - re ‘Black Swan Events’ eventually blowing your precious Polls helter skelter ‘off the map’ of ‘Degree of Certainty’ & more recently that PM In Waiting - Pierre Poutine was Vulnerable as Fuck to 70,000 Carleton Federal Voters !
Now - this is Our Reality .. & Poutine Pierre is ‘wearing Danielle Smith.. oh Yes He Is .. 🦎🏴☠️💋
I don't know how you can write about this without ever mentioning the distortions produced by our outdated first-past-the-post electoral system, and the crying need for electoral reform - i.e., proportional representation.
I’m a big ER proponent, but I think a lot of people oversell it. There’s no electoral system in the world where the biggest party getting 40-45% of the vote isn’t a crushing victory. Electoral Reform needs to be more than a shorthand for “the parties I like magically get more influence and the parties I don’t like get less”
That is no excuse for accepting a system in which 40% of the vote (and often less) gets you a monopoly on power. Furthermore, it is quite rare under a proportional representation system for one party to get as much as 40% of the vote. First-past-the-past encourages strategic voting and leads to two-party systems and polarization.
Even under the most raw forms of PR, what you’d get is the Liberals and the conservatives each probably splitting into a couple parties, but everyone would know they’re each basically a combined vote. Look at the various European PR counties and the polling and electoral math will often combine a couple parties in terms of meaningful outcome.
It moves a bit of the internal party wrangling into the public, but once the coalition is put together to make 50%+1 the other 49% don’t get any more power than the out-of-government parties do under FPTP.
PR encourages tribalism and in many ways actively discourages reaching across the isle. The political calculus becomes entirely about maintaining a stable coalition
Given the historic vote shares, Canada under PR is much more likely to be basically the current Liberals propped up by old-style PC’s than some minor party utopia
This entire article is you telling me to relax. Lol