I think trump has trapped the conservatives and Pollievre the same way the woke stuff could trap the Liberals. Some of frank graves recent tweets might even hint at further trouble for the conservatives in the next little bit. A large chunk of their base supports trump(some vehemently). If frank graves hint is anywere near the actual number it's possible that nearly 50 percent of their base approvals of trump at the moment. Also some of the weird moves they have been making lately like announcing stuff that would acquise to trump's demands and telling the liberals to listen to them and that new slogan they announced makes me think that they know that they are stuck in a pickle. Pollievre has criticized the 51st state stuff and the tariffs but I don't think it has persuaded anyone. Pollievre hasn't sounded like a stateman either at times throughout this crisis which might hurt the conservative. The next move the conservative might make will likely come from that event later this week were they plan to wrap themselves around the canadian flag. Small chunks of the conservative base might not like that at all. The fundamentals in theory should favour the CPC still but I do wonder if trump has scrambled the race and exposed severe weakenesses with the CPC that are unlikely to be fixed before the election.
This is all about Trump. PP isn't well liked and comes across as a dweeb. But there is a powerful sentiment in the country that it's time for a change.
Carney is "safe", but with time, he will be associated with the Liberal legacy of the last ten years and that desire for change will still be strong.
PP wins a majority if two things happen - (1) Trump doesn't scare the living hell out of us over the course of the election, and (2) Canadians trust that PP isn't a Trump acolyte deep down. PP has no control over #1 and limited control over #2.
It's only if Canadians think Trump is so dangerous and PP so untrustworthy that the Liberals could even hope to hold the Cons to a minority Parliament. That is depressing but true.
I think trump has trapped the conservatives and Pollievre the same way the woke stuff could trap the Liberals. Some of frank graves recent tweets might even hint at further trouble for the conservatives in the next little bit. A large chunk of their base supports trump(some vehemently). If frank graves hint is anywere near the actual number it's possible that nearly 50 percent of their base approvals of trump at the moment. Also some of the weird moves they have been making lately like announcing stuff that would acquise to trump's demands and telling the liberals to listen to them and that new slogan they announced makes me think that they know that they are stuck in a pickle. Pollievre has criticized the 51st state stuff and the tariffs but I don't think it has persuaded anyone. Pollievre hasn't sounded like a stateman either at times throughout this crisis which might hurt the conservative. The next move the conservative might make will likely come from that event later this week were they plan to wrap themselves around the canadian flag. Small chunks of the conservative base might not like that at all. The fundamentals in theory should favour the CPC still but I do wonder if trump has scrambled the race and exposed severe weakenesses with the CPC that are unlikely to be fixed before the election.
EKOS called me tonight asking who I plan on voting for. I told them! 😉
Frank Graves is always worth paying attention to.
This is all about Trump. PP isn't well liked and comes across as a dweeb. But there is a powerful sentiment in the country that it's time for a change.
Carney is "safe", but with time, he will be associated with the Liberal legacy of the last ten years and that desire for change will still be strong.
PP wins a majority if two things happen - (1) Trump doesn't scare the living hell out of us over the course of the election, and (2) Canadians trust that PP isn't a Trump acolyte deep down. PP has no control over #1 and limited control over #2.
It's only if Canadians think Trump is so dangerous and PP so untrustworthy that the Liberals could even hope to hold the Cons to a minority Parliament. That is depressing but true.