Poilievre and Byrne are polling close to the percentage that Harper got in 2011. Yet, in the current circumstances it will not be enough to stop a Liberal majority. Sometimes politics can be cruel, but in this case the Conservatives will get what they deserve.
Teneycke said it at the podcast. The Poilievre and Byrne used the 20% lead to settle scores. Not only they rejected qualified and well known candidates, they also did not attract any new talent. And now it is up to Poilievre, Lantsman and Scheer trying to make the case.
In project management we do a lot of risk scenario analysis. If this happens, then we are exposed in this way. Can we mitigate the risk, is the risk mitigation worth the risk exposure? If we cannot influence risk, how do we recover if the risk materializes? It would appear that nobody in the Conservative war room gamed out the scenario of Trump verbally attacking Canada’s sovereignty and Trudeau throwing in the towel.
Both issues are indeed campaign malpractice. Poilievre and Byrne got too comfortable with their projected super majority and well attended rallies, and now they are paying the price.
Precisely. Canada is a centre-left country, and normally 37-40% would be enough to win IF the left vote was divided between the Liberals, NDP, BQ, and the Greens.
But PP is so toxic and right wing that he’s managed to scare most of those voters into voting Liberal, especially in provinces that have the most seats. Incompetence.
Pierre Poilievre is a Reform campaigner, so I wouldn't have expected him to attract or even accept what would be more generally considered talent. That talent would be from the Progressive Conserevative branch of the Canadian conservative movement.
Vote splitting caused by a lack of ballot ranking has been hammering the conservative movement ever since branches such as Reform formed. Merging parties is a horrible idea.
As a retired senior living on a fixed income, I thank you so much for the great free articles! And I look forward to the next one everyday especially now! Maybe there's a lot of Liberals that are of the mindset of " this is too good to be true! It can't be real!" kinda thing in the back of their subconscious! Give them a pass! Cause if the celebrations come, it will be phenomenal! Thank you again and if I win any money, you'll be my first recipient! Hahaha!
I think the there's been a broader conservative swing and miss on attacking Canadian celebrities that live elsewhere for their views. By and large Canadian tend to be proud of local sons and daughters that succeed on the world stage and don't begrudge their absence so long as they keep emotional ties to home. Particularly in this moment as the Trump crisis calls successful Canadians to speak up for their homeland.
And in a contest of who Canadians like more, Niel Young is going to win every day of the week against Ben Mulroney.
Just back from door knocking in Central Nova. In my corner of the world things are looking positive but nothing is taken for granted! GOTV is starting to ramp up.
The reason there's panic isn't because anyone thinks the Conservatives are ahead but because once momentum shifts the party with momentum tends to gain until something happens to alter the momentum again.
Young is the architypal Canadian nepo-baby. Son of Scott Young, long time CBC sports broadcaster, he came to pop music when the CanCon CRTC requirements arrived. He got lots of air play on CBC radio. He coat tailed on CSN post-Woodstock. His anti-American "Southern Man" fit the Canadian Vietnam-era superiority complex perfectly.
In my mind, he was always and still is a WWG, a whiny white guy. He missed the 60s protest decade but didn't realize it.
Nothing says Canada more than a unelected globalist PM wannabe who hasn’t lived in Canada for the last almost 10 years, supported by an aging woke American rock legend, who hasn’t lived in Canada for over 50 years. Elbows up indeed. 🇨🇦 🗳️
What I find comical is the conflicting messaging: either Carney should be personally held responsible for things that happened in Canada in the last 10 years, or he was out of the country for the last 10 years. It makes absolutely no sense to try to hold both nonsense ideas in your head at the same time.
All the "Canadian" political parties currently use US Presidential style leadership conventions to impose leaders from outside parliament rather than leadership being decided by and accountable to caucus. Your "unelected PM wannabe" is not a slight against Carney, but a slight against political parties which equally applies to the corrupt policies of the CPC.
For better or for worse Mark Carney *is* Canada's current Prime Minister.
If you have a problem with that, then you need to oppose the CPC as much as you oppose the LPC.
I turn to your work daily.I enjoy it.I am very uniformed when it comes to polling however I am learning as I read and it an amazing science?!
I think as long as Poilievre continues to be just who he is we will be fine.
Thanks for the education.
Poilievre and Byrne are polling close to the percentage that Harper got in 2011. Yet, in the current circumstances it will not be enough to stop a Liberal majority. Sometimes politics can be cruel, but in this case the Conservatives will get what they deserve.
Teneycke said it at the podcast. The Poilievre and Byrne used the 20% lead to settle scores. Not only they rejected qualified and well known candidates, they also did not attract any new talent. And now it is up to Poilievre, Lantsman and Scheer trying to make the case.
In project management we do a lot of risk scenario analysis. If this happens, then we are exposed in this way. Can we mitigate the risk, is the risk mitigation worth the risk exposure? If we cannot influence risk, how do we recover if the risk materializes? It would appear that nobody in the Conservative war room gamed out the scenario of Trump verbally attacking Canada’s sovereignty and Trudeau throwing in the towel.
Both issues are indeed campaign malpractice. Poilievre and Byrne got too comfortable with their projected super majority and well attended rallies, and now they are paying the price.
Precisely. Canada is a centre-left country, and normally 37-40% would be enough to win IF the left vote was divided between the Liberals, NDP, BQ, and the Greens.
But PP is so toxic and right wing that he’s managed to scare most of those voters into voting Liberal, especially in provinces that have the most seats. Incompetence.
Pierre Poilievre is a Reform campaigner, so I wouldn't have expected him to attract or even accept what would be more generally considered talent. That talent would be from the Progressive Conserevative branch of the Canadian conservative movement.
Vote splitting caused by a lack of ballot ranking has been hammering the conservative movement ever since branches such as Reform formed. Merging parties is a horrible idea.
As a retired senior living on a fixed income, I thank you so much for the great free articles! And I look forward to the next one everyday especially now! Maybe there's a lot of Liberals that are of the mindset of " this is too good to be true! It can't be real!" kinda thing in the back of their subconscious! Give them a pass! Cause if the celebrations come, it will be phenomenal! Thank you again and if I win any money, you'll be my first recipient! Hahaha!
I think the there's been a broader conservative swing and miss on attacking Canadian celebrities that live elsewhere for their views. By and large Canadian tend to be proud of local sons and daughters that succeed on the world stage and don't begrudge their absence so long as they keep emotional ties to home. Particularly in this moment as the Trump crisis calls successful Canadians to speak up for their homeland.
And in a contest of who Canadians like more, Niel Young is going to win every day of the week against Ben Mulroney.
I do know some Albertan music fans who absolutely cannot countenance Neil because of his anti-pipeline stances.
But then again, if Ben Mulroney wants to spend his energy boosting the Alberta CPC vote, who am I to call that a waste of time, eh?
Another great write up. Thank you!
Just back from door knocking in Central Nova. In my corner of the world things are looking positive but nothing is taken for granted! GOTV is starting to ramp up.
The reason there's panic isn't because anyone thinks the Conservatives are ahead but because once momentum shifts the party with momentum tends to gain until something happens to alter the momentum again.
Of course, Kouvalis and Teneycke COULD be taking the piss.
It's highly unlikely though, perhaps as unlikely as you picking the Leafs in the upcoming BoO? 😉
Kory would be losing millions in future contracts if he was to make shit uo
Young is the architypal Canadian nepo-baby. Son of Scott Young, long time CBC sports broadcaster, he came to pop music when the CanCon CRTC requirements arrived. He got lots of air play on CBC radio. He coat tailed on CSN post-Woodstock. His anti-American "Southern Man" fit the Canadian Vietnam-era superiority complex perfectly.
In my mind, he was always and still is a WWG, a whiny white guy. He missed the 60s protest decade but didn't realize it.
Anything in the West (BC), or are you ignoring us, yet again. We are not Alberta, not on the coast.
Nothing says Canada more than a unelected globalist PM wannabe who hasn’t lived in Canada for the last almost 10 years, supported by an aging woke American rock legend, who hasn’t lived in Canada for over 50 years. Elbows up indeed. 🇨🇦 🗳️
What I find comical is the conflicting messaging: either Carney should be personally held responsible for things that happened in Canada in the last 10 years, or he was out of the country for the last 10 years. It makes absolutely no sense to try to hold both nonsense ideas in your head at the same time.
All the "Canadian" political parties currently use US Presidential style leadership conventions to impose leaders from outside parliament rather than leadership being decided by and accountable to caucus. Your "unelected PM wannabe" is not a slight against Carney, but a slight against political parties which equally applies to the corrupt policies of the CPC.
For better or for worse Mark Carney *is* Canada's current Prime Minister.
If you have a problem with that, then you need to oppose the CPC as much as you oppose the LPC.
.. With Respect - ‘get fucked ..